When conflict erupts in the Middle East, what happens to the price of oil — and how fast?
event study · minute bars
Compute the answer →Veille · Market research terminal
Event studies measured
41,896
One for each event measured against the price.
The news and the price, on one screen.
Joined event by event. We measure the reaction. No predictions. Evidence.
The record
Every figure carries its n.
What the record answers
Browse the instruments →event study · minute bars
Compute the answer →decay · half-life, median & spread
Compute the answer →event types · ranked by reaction
Compute the answer →The method
A headline carries a timestamp. A bar carries a timestamp. Line the two up and the story sits on the chart at the minute it landed, rather than beside it in a column you have to reconcile yourself.
For any event you can name, the terminal gathers the comparable ones already on record and reports what the price did afterwards: the size of the first move, the hour it peaked, and how many of them had reversed by the close.
Sample size is never left behind in a footnote. Where a pattern rests on n = 9 observations, the terminal prints the nine, and you get to decide whether nine is enough.
Each claim goes into the logbook with a timestamp, before its outcome is known, and it stays there once the outcome arrives. The misses are as easy to find as the hits.
The instrument set
06 instruments · 04 liveExchange-truth prices beside the news that moved them — one screen, one story.
LiveToday's move, decomposed and explained in plain language. Feel like an economist, not a gambler.
SoonThe measured record — every event, joined to its outcome.
LiveWhat this kind of event historically did — with the sample size printed on every number.
LiveTest a reaction pattern against decades of measured outcomes before you trust it.
LiveEvery claim registered before its outcome is known — receipts, kept in public.
SoonOpen an account
Free to open.
Live markets, the event tape, the measured record and the evidence cards. The instruments still marked Soon arrive as they land.